Zillow: Mortgage Payments Least Affordable for Low-Income Earners

Sorohan, Mike msorohan@mba.org

July 12, 2016


People with low incomes spend nearly 23 percent of their income on monthly mortgage payments, compared to high-income earners, who spend just 11.5 percent of their income on monthly house payments, said Zillow Inc., Seattle.

Zillow divided income earners and homes into three tiers, assuming that low-income earners buy less expensive homes, median earners buy median homes, and high-income earners buy more expensive homes in the top third of the market.

The report said lower earners carry a heavier burden when it comes to making monthly payments, as their incomes have been largely stagnant, while low-priced homes have gained value fastest. Zillow said low-income earners could expect to spend nearly 40 percent of their income on housing in 2007. For people in the top third of incomes, the peak was in 2006, when they could expect to spend just over 20 percent of their income on a mortgage.

Zillow said in some large markets, the amount low-income workers spend on housing is much greater. In Los Angeles, for example, people who earn the least could expect to spend more than three-quarters of their income on housing alone. For the top earners, mortgage payments only took up 27.5 percent of their income--a difference of nearly 50 percentage points.

"Housing affordability is a different story for low-income Americans than for median and high-earning people," said Zillow Chief Economist Svenja Gudell. "They are spending much more of their income on housing, even when they buy the least expensive homes. On top of that, we know that the least expensive homes are gaining value the fastest and are the most scarce, making it hard to find a home to buy even if you can afford one. From a high level view, mortgage affordability looks pretty good across most of the country, but it's not good for everyone."

Zillow said the cost of housing exceeds 30 percent of the median income, the traditional rule for housing affordability, in nearly one-third of major markets for lower wage earners. It said low-income earners are effectively priced out of buying a home in most large California markets, above 50 percent in Los Angeles, San Jose, San Francisco and San Diego. By contrast, San Jose is the only place where high-wage earners can expect to spend more than 30 percent of their income on housing.

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