Chart of the Week


COTW

Source: HUD

While the average credit score on new FHA endorsements has fallen as the agency has withdrawn from its counter-cyclical role during the crisis, the changes have been uneven across products and loan purposes.  This week's chart depicts the average credit scores on new FHA mortgage endorsements between 2010 and 2016. There is a clear drop in the average credit scores for all products following policy changes in 2012 and 2013 that increased the effective mortgage insurance premium (MIP).  At the height of the refi boom in 2012, average credit scores were higher for refinances than for purchase endorsements, while average purchase credit scores have recently been a bit higher than refinances.

With the subsequent reduction in the annual MIP rate introduced in January of 2015, there was a tripling in FHA refinance activity over the short term, and a more persistent upward shift in FHA purchase endorsements over the longer term.  The MIP reduction also had the impact of stabilizing the credit profile of the FHA book by drawing stronger credit borrowers to FHA via conventional to FHA refinances. This also suggests that conventional borrowers are more sensitive to the relative change in costs resulting from FHA policy changes compared to existing or prospective FHA borrowers. On the home purchase side, the typical credit score for home purchases following the MIP decrease did not change compared to 2014. .              

-Lynn Fisher; Joel Kan.

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Archives

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February 2017
2/10/2017 FHA Average Credit Scores on New Endorsements
2/3/17- 2017 MBA CREF Outlook Survey Results

January 2017
1/27/17 Federal Direct Student Loans in Repayment ($B), By Repayment Type
1/20/17- Distribution of Refinance Activity
1/13/17- History of FHA Mortgage Insurance Premiums
1/6/17- Share of Servicing Loan Count by Institution Type

December 2016
12/22/16 Purchase Applications Around the Holidays
12/16/16 GNMA-FNMA Credit Swap Prices
12/9/16 IMB Production Employees and Non-Sales Employee Share
12/2/16 ARM Share

November 2016
11/23/16 Percentage of Loans in the Foreclosure Process
11/18/16 FHA Purchase Loan Count as Share of New and Existing Home Sales
11/10/16 10-Year Treasury Yield Following Election Night
11/4/16- Multifamily Lending by Investor Group

October 2016
10/28/16 Estimated Mortgage Originations: 1999-2019
10/21/16 CPI and its Motor Fuel Component
10/14/16 Largest Q2 Gains and Lossess in Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding

September 2016
9/30/16 Monthly Existing Home Sales 2014-2016
9/23/16 Purchase and Refinance Average Loan Sizes
9/16/16 FHFA Home Price Indexes
9/9/16 Latest Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Rates and Range Since 1996
9/2/16 Pre-Tax Production Profit of IMBs

August 2016
8/26/16 Year-to-Date Net Change in Bank Holdings of Multifamily and Other Commercial Property Loans, by Week ($billions), As of August 10, 2016
8/19/16 Share of Loans in Foreclosure (%) and Real House Prices (indexed), by State
8/12/16 Conventional Purchase Applications - Average Loan Size by Product
8/5/16 Share of Investors Offering 97 LTV Conventional Affordable Loan Products

July 2016
7/29/16 Servicing Costs per Loan: Performing vs. Non-Performing
7/15/16 Credit Score Distribution of FHA Single Family Endorsements
7/8/16 Growth in Median Household Incomes and Costs of Living

June 2016
6/24/16 Monthly Underwriting Productivity
6/17/16 How Are US 10 Year Rates Impacted by Global Trends?
6/10/16 IMB Production Profit and Volume
6/3/16 Change in Outstanding Balance of Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage ($billions)

May 2016
5/27/16 Adult Population Mobility 1996-2015
5/20/16 The Cascade of Diverted and Dissolved Households: Actual and Expected Growth in Renters and Owners, 2006 to 2012 (Millions)
5/13/16 Year-to-Date Change in the Balance of Multifamily Mortgages on the Books of Commercial Banks ($billions)
5/6/16 Purchase Applications by Loan Size: Year over Year Changes

April 2016
4/29/16 Estimated Q1 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations 2002-2016 by Investor Group ($billions)
4/22/16 Unemployment Insurance: Initial Claims (SA, Thous.)
4/15/16 Purchase Application Index by Week of Year
4/8/16 Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Originations by Capital Source ($billions)
4/1/16 Regression-Adjusted Age Profile of Memory Measures

March 2016
3/25/16 Refinance Applications and Average Loan Size
3/18/16 CMBS and Corporate Spreads to Swaps (bps)
3/11/16 Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker
3/4/16 Annual Growth in Payroll Enrollment

February 2016
2/26/16 Cumulative STACR Debt Note and ACIS Transactions as of December 31, 2015
2/19/16 Oil States vs. U.S. Average: 2015 Foreclosure Starts Rate (NSA)
2/12/16 Ratio of Unemployed Workers Per Job Opening
2/5/16 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Originations

January 2016
1/29/16 Inflation Trends
1/22/16 Indexed Growth of Nonfarm Payroll Employment for "Oil" States
1/15/16 Changes in Population Age 25-44 and Single Family Starts
1/8/16 A Flattening U.S. Yield Curve

December 2015
12/23/15 Purchase Mortgage Applications and Existing Home Sales
12/18/15 Net Change in Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding ($M)
12/11/15 Retail Closings per Proudction Employee per Month for IMBs
12/4/15  House Prices Relative to 2007-Q3  

November 2015
11/20/15 Loans In Foreclosure Process As a Percent of Loans Serviced
11/13/15 VA Purchase Loan Share and Loan Size
11/6/15 Builder Application Survey: Average Loan Size

October 2015
10/30/15 Total Multifamily Mortgage Originations by Investor Group
10/23/15 Mortgage Originations History and Forecast
10/16/15 Single Family Housing Starts and Builders Application Survey Forecast
10/9/15 FHA Share of Purchase Mortgage Originations
10/2/15 Total Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding, By Selected Sector

September 2015
9/25/15 HMDA Respondents
9/18/15 Rates and Home Sales
9/11/15 Loan Size Distribution for MBA's Weekly Applications Survey
9/3/15 IMB Net Production Income and Purchase Share

August 2015
8/21/15 Multifamily and Other Commercial Mortgage Delinquency Rates Among Major Investors
8/14/15 Loans in Foreclosure, by State Legal Process
8/7/15 Mortgage Credit Availability Index June 2004 to Present

July 2015
7/31/15 Components of Direct Servicing Costs Per Loan
7/24/15 FHFA US Purchase-Only House Price Index (SA)
7/17/15 Year over Year Change in Builder Application Survey Index
7/10/15 Retail Mortgage Applications per Underwriter
7/2/15 Adjustable Rate Mortgage Share

June 2015
6/26/15 Existing Home Turnover
6/19/15 Aggregate Value of Owner-Occupied Housing
6/12/15 Comparison of 10 Year Bond Yields
6/5/15 Independent Mortgage Banker Production Expenses

May 2015
5/29/15 Change in Number of Households by Age, 2004-2014

5/22/15 Single Family Housing Starts by U.S. Region
5/15/15 History of Mortgage Performance
5/8/15 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Origination Index
5/1/15 Employment Cost Index - Compensation, Year Over Year Percent Change

April 2015
4/24/15 Purchase Application Trends, By Loan Size
4/17/15 Private Location of Western Mortgage Company Headquarters, 1890
4/10/15 Private Job Openings, Hires and Quits

4/3/15 Top 50 Apartment Owners and Top 5 Single-Family Rental Owners  

March 2015
3/27/15 MBA Builder Application Survey and New Housing Starts
3/20/15 GDP, Inflation, and the Fed Funds Rate  
3/13/15 Purchase Mortgage Application Loan Sizes and House Prices   

3/6/15 Number of Renter Households by Income and Level of Housing-Cost Burden  

February 2015
2/27/15 Serious Delinquency Rate by Cohort
2/20/15 Two Years of Interest Rates

2/13/15 Rate of Unemployment and Job Openings 
2/6/15 Commercial and Multifamily Property Prices and Mortgage Debt Outstanding

January 2015
1/30/15 Year-over-Year Percent Changes in U.S. Population and Households 
1/23/15 65 Years of Single-Family and Multifamily Housing Starts 
1/16/15 Refinance Index and 30-year Fixed Mortgage Rate 
1/9/15 History of FHA Mortgage Insurance Premiums 

December 2014
12/17/14 Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding 
12/12/14 Conventional Mortgage Credit Availability Index 
12/05/14 Independent Mortgage Bankers Production & Income 

November 2014
11/26/14 Who Will Own Mortgage Assets 
11/21/14 A Good Week for Housing
11/14/14 FHA and VA Share of Total Loan Applications


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