Forecasts and Commentary

The market environment changes frequently. MBA's highly regarded economists provide current economic data that factor into industry business decisions on a daily basis. Our forecasts and commentary help you better understand and analyze different trends and changes in the industry - past and present - to strategize for the future.

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"The health of the labor market plays a significant role in the outlook for housing. Although job growth is expected to slow along with the economy, overall market conditions look decent next year. Low mortgage rates and millennial buyer demand will be the primary reasons for a slight increase in purchase activity in 2020. We have started to see a pick up in the homeownership rate in the younger age cohorts, where many first time home buyers are, and the overall number of owner occupied households formed. " - Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist, MBA

This is MBA's forecast of key indicators of economic health such as GDP, consumer spending, employment and interest rates. View Archive.

This is MBA's mortgage originations forecast, along with estimates of major housing market indicators. View Archive.

Each month MBA economists provide commentary and insights on the current mortgage finance and economic climates. View Archive.

Historical record of single-family, one- to four-unit loan origination estimates. Last updated as of October 2018. 

Looking for Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Forecasts?

MBA’s research on the commercial and multifamily real estate finance (CREF) markets is without peer, and includes the following resources:

Want it Live and In Person?

Joel Kan and Marina Walsh Speak at MBA Servicing 2019

Hear from our MBA Research team at an upcoming MBA Event. Here are a few places you can check them out:

  • February 23-26, during MBA's Servicing Solutions Conference & Expo, MBA's Marina Walsh, Vice President of Industry Analysis, and Joel Kan, Assoicate Vice President of Industry Surveys and Forecasts, discuss the Economic Outlook


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