Forecasts and Commentary

The market environment changes frequently. MBA's highly regarded economists provide current economic data that factor into industry business decisions on a daily basis. Our forecasts and commentary help you better understand and analyze different trends and changes in the industry - past and present - to strategize for the future.

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"In February, we raised our estimate of annual real GDP growth in 2021 to 5.9 percent from 3.7 percent in the previous month's forecast, with most of the increased growth coming in the second half of 2021. With a widely distributed vaccine reaching more of the country, we anticipate that many consumers will unleash pent-up demand fueled by the cash they have been saving over the past year. This is especially so in the service sector of the economy, which has been most severely impacted by the limited or even absence of in-person transactions." - Mike Fratantoni, MBA Chief Economist 

This is MBA's forecast of key indicators of economic health such as GDP, consumer spending, employment and interest rates. View Archive.

This is MBA's mortgage originations forecast, along with estimates of major housing market indicators. View Archive.

Each month MBA economists provide commentary and insights on the current mortgage finance and economic climates. View Archive.

Historical record of single-family, one- to four-unit loan origination estimates. Last updated October 2021. 

Looking for Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Forecasts?

MBA’s research on the commercial and multifamily real estate finance (CREF) markets is without peer, and includes the following resources:

Want it Live and In Person?

Joel Kan and Marina Walsh Speak at MBA Servicing 2019

Hear from our MBA Research team at an upcoming MBA Event. Our economic and market outlook sessions are featured at both in-person conferences and select virtual events. Here are just a few upcoming opportunities to get our data live:

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