Forecasts and Commentary
In This Section
The market environment changes frequently. MBA's highly regarded economists provide current economic data that factor into industry business decisions on a daily basis. Our forecasts and commentary help you better understand and analyze different trends and changes in the industry - past and present - to strategize for the future.
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"Since hitting a recent high of over 5 percent in November 2018, the 30 year fixed mortgage rate has fallen more than a percentage point, and homeowners have responded strongly to the drop in rates, as more borrowers are now "in the money" and have a rate incentive to refinance. In the second quarter alone, refinance applications increased 30 percent from the first quarter and in the first two weeks of August, refinance applications surged another 50 percent..." - Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist, MBA
This is MBA's forecast of key indicators of economic health such as GDP, consumer spending, employment and interest rates. View Archive.
This is MBA's mortgage originations forecast, along with estimates of major housing market indicators. View Archive.
Each month MBA economists provide commentary and insights on the current mortgage finance and economic climates. View Archive.
Looking for Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Forecasts?
Want it Live and In Person?
Hear from our MBA Research team at an upcoming MBA Event. Here are a few places you can check them out:
- On May 20th, during MBA's Secondary Market Conference and Expo, MBA's Michael Fratantoni, Ph.D., Chief Economist and Senior Vice President of Research and Technology, Mortgage Bankers Association, speaks during the Market Outlook General Session