Forecasts and Commentary

The market environment changes frequently. MBA's highly regarded economists provide current economic data that factor into industry business decisions on a daily basis. Our forecasts and commentary help you better understand and analyze different trends and changes in the industry - past and present - to strategize for the future.

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"Our baseline forecast is for a V-shaped recovery: we expect a sharp drop in growth in Q2 2020, with a recovery late in 2020 and into 2021.  There remains the possibility of a U-shaped recovery as well, with things staying worse for longer as the ripple effects from business closings, restricted in-person activity, and job losses linger, before a steep bounce back beginning later in 2021.  The success of the public health measures in place and planned for the months ahead will make the difference in these paths." - Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist, MBA 

This is MBA's forecast of key indicators of economic health such as GDP, consumer spending, employment and interest rates. View Archive.

This is MBA's mortgage originations forecast, along with estimates of major housing market indicators. View Archive.

Each month MBA economists provide commentary and insights on the current mortgage finance and economic climates. View Archive.

Historical record of single-family, one- to four-unit loan origination estimates. Last updated February 2020. 

Looking for Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Forecasts?

MBA’s research on the commercial and multifamily real estate finance (CREF) markets is without peer, and includes the following resources:

Want it Live and In Person?

Joel Kan and Marina Walsh Speak at MBA Servicing 2019

Hear from our MBA Research team at an upcoming MBA Event. Stay tuned for information about the next opportunity to get our data live and in person.


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